Seed Analysis

2013–2026 (excl. 2020)  ·  3,228 wrestler-seasons (merit-based seeds only: top 12 in 2013, top 16 in 2014–2018, all 33 from 2019)

Seed vs. Final Placement

Average final placement for each seed (1–33) across all weight classes and years. Non-top-8 placements are estimated at the midpoint of their elimination range (e.g., C_R4 loss → 10.5). Error bars show ±1 standard deviation. The dashed diagonal represents a perfect seed = placement outcome.

Seed Avg Placement Std Dev n
12.071.61130
24.164.56130
35.194.92130
46.294.74130
58.596.13130
68.705.71130
79.365.57130
810.326.23130
912.597.02130
1012.367.01130
1113.027.13130
1214.617.00130
1317.087.40120
1415.135.87120
1515.626.99120
1617.906.31120
1718.996.4470
1818.555.8770
1918.845.7170
2019.046.8670
2119.576.2970
2221.716.8170
2322.185.9970
2423.366.1570
2521.616.5870
2622.577.1170
2723.806.0770
2824.865.5870
2924.415.3870
3027.575.3770
3125.904.3970
3228.425.1070
3328.035.9068

Seed vs. Team Points Scored

Average team points contributed per seed. Points = advancement points (wins through bracket) + bonus points (MD +1, TF +1.5, Fall/FF/DQ/Inj +2) + placement points (top-8 finishes). Error bars show ±1 standard deviation.

Seed Avg Points Std Dev n
119.974.73130
216.146.41130
313.676.61130
411.596.28130
59.026.14130
68.135.91130
77.385.27130
86.555.53130
95.385.27130
105.255.22130
114.484.43130
123.503.87130
132.883.91120
143.203.30120
153.364.06120
162.112.23120
171.922.1270
181.692.2370
191.511.2970
201.842.7170
211.401.5470
221.201.8970
230.941.3870
240.781.1570
251.061.9470
261.042.0370
270.641.2370
280.450.9370
290.470.8170
301.011.1070
310.290.7270
320.911.1170
331.111.4268

Bracket Odds by Seed

Percentage of wrestlers at each seed who reached each championship bracket round. Only merit-based seeds included: top 12 in 2013, top 16 in 2014–2018, all 33 from 2019. Gray cells = zero occurrences. Hover for exact ratio.

Bracket Survival Curves

Each line shows one seed's survival rate through the championship bracket. Color gradient: green = seed 1red = seed 33.